A new report by Mercer HPA offers a glimpse into the future of healthcare employment over the coming decade. And if their predictions are true, the U.S. will see shortages in many key healthcare jobs at the moment when the country will need them most. According to the Mercer study, the demand for healthcare workers will see steady growth nationwide, as the industry adds 2.4 million new jobs by 2026. But the supply of workers won’t keep pace. The Mercer study also found that by 2025, the U.S. will see a deficit of:
- 446,300 home health aides.
- 95,000 nursing assistants.
- 98,700 medical and lab technologists and technicians.
- 29,400 nurse practitioners.
These findings are concerning because the demand for healthcare services will increase dramatically as the country ages in the coming years. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the number of Americans aged 65 or older will increase to more than 60 million people. And because of our sedentary lifestyles and general reliance on automobiles, older Americans will need more care from home health aides. Which is a group that will see the greatest deficit of available workers over the coming decade.
Some Areas Will Be Better off Than Others
The Mercer study also breaks down the supply and demand outlook for six key healthcare occupations in all 50 states. By 2025, every state is predicted to have a deficit of available home health aide workers, although some will be worse-off than others.
The situation appears to be most severe in Texas. By 2025, Mercer predicts there will be 26,990 new home health aide jobs available – a 38.2% job growth rate – but a gap of negative 41,250 available workers. This deficit is attributed to rising demand in rural Texas, an area which lacks the talent needed to fill the gaps.
Here in Arizona, Mercer projects 9,172 new home health aide job openings by 2025, with a gap of 8,992 available workers. Arizona’s reputation as a retirement destination will drive the worker gap, with the Phoenix-Mesa area seeing the largest growth.
The states in the best (or least-worse) position tend to be in the more rural middle of the country. Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas, along with Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma are all predicted to see relatively minor home health aidedeficits in the next decade. This will be generally due to in-state migration from rural to urban areas where there exists more healthcare infrastructure.
But throughout the country, the study reveals the urgent need for more home health aides to meet the growing demand of an aging nation.
Generations Home Care Knows Arizona
As a service provider for Arizona seniors, Generations Home Care knows the important role home health aides play in the continuum of care. If you’d like to learn more about home care, or know someone who needs it, we’d love to hear from you. Call us by phone at 602-595-HOME(4663) or fill out our contact form and we’ll get right back to you. We’re working every day to ensure we have the skilled staff available to meet the needs of Phoenix-area seniors today and into the future.